https://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/etf/bitcoin/ (2024)

Data Source: from January 2009 to March 2024 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2024
Live Update: Apr 26 2024, 08:58PM Eastern Time

Category: Commodities

Bitcoin (^BTC) Commodity

COMMODITY • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)

2.53%

1 Day

Apr 26 2024, 08:58PM Eastern Time

9.83%

Current Month

April 2024

In the last 10 Years, the Bitcoin (^BTC) Commodity obtained a 64.86% compound annual return, with a 76.96% standard deviation.

Table of contents

https://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/etf/bitcoin/ (1)

The first official book of https://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/etf/bitcoin/ (2)

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The Bitcoin (^BTC) Commodity is part of the following Lazy Portfolios:

Portfolio Name Author ^BTC Weight Currency
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 with Bitcoin 2.00% USD
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with Bitcoin 2.00% USD
All Weather Portfolio with Bitcoin Ray Dalio 2.00% USD
Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin Harry Browne 2.00% USD
Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin 2.00% USD
Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin Gyroscopic Investing 2.00% USD

Investment Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

The Bitcoin (^BTC) Commodity guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:

  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.

BITCOIN (^BTC) COMMODITY

Consolidated returns as of 31 March 2024

Live Update: Apr 26 2024, 08:58PM Eastern Time

Swipe left to see all data

Chg (%)Return (%)Return (%) as of Mar 31, 2024
1 DayTime ET(*)Apr 20241M6M1Y5Y10YMAX
(~15Y)
Bitcoin (^BTC) Commodity-2.53-9.8314.84157.11140.3176.4664.86150.02
US Inflation Adjusted return14.41153.04132.2469.3660.31143.71
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 2009
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Mar 2024. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 3.48% , 5Y: 4.19% , 10Y: 2.84%

Live update: World Markets and Indexes

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

An investment of 1$, since April 2014, now would be worth 148.28$, with a total return of 14728.35% (64.86% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 112.09$, with a net total return of 11109.38% (60.31% annualized).

An investment of 1$, since January 2009, now would be worth 1172538.18$, with a total return of 117253717.54% (150.02% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 793877.03$, with a net total return of 79387603.04% (143.71% annualized).

Investment Metrics as of Mar 31, 2024

Metrics of Bitcoin (^BTC) Commodity, updated as of 31 March 2024.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:

  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.

BITCOIN (^BTC) COMMODITY

Advanced Metrics

Data Source: 1 January 2009 - 31 March 2024 (~15 years)

Swipe left to see all data

Metrics as of Mar 31, 2024
1M3M6M1Y3Y5Y10YMAX
(~15Y)
Investment Return (%)14.8464.14157.11140.316.0676.4664.86150.02
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details 14.4162.30153.04132.240.4169.3660.31143.71
US Inflation (%)0.381.131.613.485.634.192.842.59
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.

DRAWDOWN

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10YMAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)-14.71-72.55-72.55-73.81-81.56
Start to Recovery (# months) details 429293419
Start (yyyy mm)2023 072021 112021 112018 012011 07
Start to Bottom (# months)21414135
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 082022 122022 122019 012011 11
Bottom to End (# months)215152114
End (yyyy mm)2023 102024 032024 032020 102013 01
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-80.43
Start to Recovery (# months) details 39
Start (yyyy mm)2023 072021 112021 112018 012013 12
Start to Bottom (# months)214141317
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 082022 122022 122019 012015 04
Bottom to End (# months)215152122
End (yyyy mm)2023 102024 032024 032020 102017 02
Longest negative period (# months) details 634353540
Period Start (yyyy mm)2023 042021 042021 032021 032013 12
Period End (yyyy mm)2023 092024 012024 012024 012017 03
Annualized Return (%)-12.64-10.58-1.79-1.79-2.85
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)-15.32-74.60-74.60-74.60-81.75
Start to Recovery (# months) details 429292919
Start (yyyy mm)2023 072021 112021 112021 112011 07
Start to Bottom (# months)21414145
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 082022 122022 122022 122011 11
Bottom to End (# months)215151514
End (yyyy mm)2023 102024 032024 032024 032013 01
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-74.31-80.65
Start to Recovery (# months) details 3441
Start (yyyy mm)2023 072021 112021 112018 012013 12
Start to Bottom (# months)214141321
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 082022 122022 122019 012015 08
Bottom to End (# months)215152120
End (yyyy mm)2023 102024 032024 032020 102017 04
Longest negative period (# months) details 635353540
Period Start (yyyy mm)2023 042021 042021 032021 032013 12
Period End (yyyy mm)2023 092024 022024 012024 012017 03
Annualized Return (%)-15.76-4.11-7.07-7.07-4.04

RISK INDICATORS

1Y3Y5Y10YMAX
Standard Deviation (%)50.5265.8974.1076.96186.85
Sharpe Ratio2.670.051.010.830.78
Sortino Ratio4.420.081.511.292.17
Ulcer Index5.7845.6537.0139.5543.16
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation2.780.091.030.840.80
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown9.540.081.050.881.84
% Positive Months details 75%52%56%55%63%
Positive Months9193467117
Negative Months317265366

LONG TERM RETURNS

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10YMAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized64.86238.15
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized41.81
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized60.31232.31
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized37.97

ROLLING PERIODS

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10YMAX
Over the latest 10Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized1340.96252.20169.3264.86
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-71.756.065.22
% Positive Periods70%100%100%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized48.7116.0615.6524.67
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized-0.191.0224.45
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized1310.32245.41163.6360.31
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-72.310.411.36
% Positive Periods70%100%100%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized48.7116.0615.6524.67
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized-0.191.0224.45
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Over all the available data source (Jan 2009 - Mar 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized23946.191738.60575.68238.15
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-73.03-14.125.2241.81
% Positive Periods77%99%100%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized31.9811.0910.049.55
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized--1.029.17
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized23132.511699.80561.70232.31
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-72.97-15.061.3637.97
% Positive Periods71%99%100%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized31.9811.0910.049.55
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized--1.029.17
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com

Terms and Definitions

  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.

Correlations as of Mar 31, 2024

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.

Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.

Monthly correlations of Bitcoin (^BTC) Commodity vs the main Asset Classes, over different timeframes. Columns are sortable (click on table header to sort).

BITCOIN (^BTC) COMMODITY

Monthly correlations as of 31 March 2024

Swipe left to see all data

Correlation vs ^BTC
Asset Class1 Year5 Years10 YearsSince
Jan 2009

VTI

US Total Stock Market

0.27

0.45

0.34

0.15

SPY

US Large Cap

0.28

0.44

0.34

0.15

IJR

US Small Cap

0.21

0.42

0.25

0.13

VNQ

US REITs

0.25

0.43

0.25

0.07

QQQ

US Technology

0.07

0.42

0.33

0.14

PFF

Preferred Stocks

-0.03

0.41

0.29

0.05

EFA

EAFE Stocks

0.31

0.36

0.30

0.13

VT

World All Countries

0.29

0.43

0.33

0.14

EEM

Emerging Markets

0.35

0.27

0.19

0.04

VGK

Europe

0.28

0.36

0.29

0.14

VPL

Pacific

0.31

0.35

0.27

0.12

FLLA

Latin America

0.09

0.31

0.21

0.03

BND

US Total Bond Market

-0.04

0.29

0.17

0.08

TLT

Long Term Treasuries

0.07

0.16

0.08

-0.03

BIL

US Cash

0.19

0.02

0.00

-0.08

TIP

TIPS

0.05

0.40

0.25

0.10

LQD

Invest. Grade Bonds

-0.02

0.33

0.22

0.09

HYG

High Yield Bonds

0.08

0.42

0.31

0.11

CWB

US Convertible Bonds

0.06

0.45

0.29

0.12

BNDX

International Bonds

0.03

0.37

0.24

0.10

EMB

Emerg. Market Bonds

0.22

0.34

0.27

0.06

GLD

Gold

0.40

0.22

0.11

0.00

DBC

Commodities

-0.11

0.11

0.15

0.07

If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

BITCOIN (^BTC) COMMODITY

Drawdown periods

Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted

Data Source: 1 April 2014 - 31 March 2024 (10 Years)

Data Source: 1 January 2009 - 31 March 2024 (~15 years)

Inflation Adjusted:

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https://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/etf/bitcoin/ (2024)

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