Technical Analysis Alone Is Not Enough To Trade Successfully (2024)

  • February 2, 2020

New traders after experiencingloss either leave the market or decide to learn. Ideally one should learn and then get into the stock market, unfortunately, people often learn it the hard way. They lose first and if they haven’t lost all of their money they think of doing it the right way.

Now when they start learning the first thing that comes to their mind is to learnTechnical Analysis.And when they do decide to go for a course in Technical Analysis, they come across such wonderful concepts like Support & Resistance, trend line, Fibonaccietc. that it feels that life is now sorted. However, when one applies these theories in the market, it falls flat on the face and losses continues. This leaves one all confused & belief that one can actually earn in the market begins to wane. They learn more aboutTechnical analysisbut the result is the same, disappointment& more disappointment.

Why is that? Why Technical analysis does not work? Well, it does but know alone. If your trades are based on only technical analysis then your success rate will be not more than 40% and with that kind of success rate you just cannot earn in the market.

So, now what to do?

The answer is Derivative Analysis. The derivative analysis is the study of Option & Future data. Derivative Analysis together with Technical Analysis can improveyour successrate to as high as 80%. You’ll be able to spot trend better also trend change will be much easierto decipher. Now, why is that?

The reason for the low success rate of technical analysis is that when you are doing the Technical analysis you are only looking at charts which is the pictorial presentation of the Future price. Here you are completelyignoring the Option data which is significant data. You just can’t ignore anything when you are analyzingthe market and to ignore such a vital option data is a cardinal sin.

Option data analysisshows in which direction the position is being made whether short or long. Now, whenever a position is made there is a buyer or seller so how do you decide who is more powerful, buyer or the seller. Option analysis will help in deciding this.

It is the combination of Technical Analysis & Derivative Analysis that makes analysis complete and more precise. Option Trading can be extremelyenjoyableand profitableif we combine the two analysis. You just cannotignore any of the two, Technical or Derivative analysis. The difference between an average trader and a successful one is that a successfultrader has a holisticview of the market……not just technical analysis but derivative analysis too

Keep learning & happy trading.

New traders after experiencingloss either leave the
market or decide to learn. Ideally one should learn and
then get into the stock market, unfortunately, people
often learn it the hard way. They lose first and if they
haven’t lost all of their money they think of doing it the
right way.
Now when they start learning the first thing that comes
to their mind is to learnTechnical Analysis.And
when they do decide to go for a course in Technical
Analysis, they come across such wonderful concepts
like Support & Resistance, trend line, Fibonaccietc. that
it feels that life is now sorted. However, when one
applies these theories in the market, it falls flat on the
face and losses continues. This leaves one all confused
& belief that one can actually earn in the market begins
to wane. They learn more aboutTechnical
analysisbut the result is the same, disappointment&
more disappointment.

Why is that? Why Technical analysis does not work?
Well, it does but know alone. If your trades are based
on only technical analysis then your success rate will be
not more than 40% and with that kind of success rate
you just cannot earn in the market.

So, now what to do?

The answer is Derivative Analysis. The derivative
analysis is the study of Option & Future data. Derivative
Analysis together with Technical Analysis can
improveyour successrate to as high as 80%. You’ll be
able to spot trend better also trend change will be
much easierto decipher. Now, why is that?

The reason for the low success rate of technical
analysis is that when you are doing the Technical
analysis you are only looking at charts which is the
pictorial presentation of the Future price. Here you are
completelyignoring the Option data which is significant
data. You just can’t ignore anything when you are
analyzingthe market and to ignore such a vital option
data is a cardinal sin.

Option data analysisshows in which direction the
position is being made whether short or long. Now,

whenever a position is made there is a buyer or seller
so how do you decide who is more powerful, buyer or
the seller. Option analysis will help in deciding this.

It is the combination of Technical Analysis & Derivative
Analysis that makes analysis complete and more
precise.
Option Trading can be extremelyenjoyableand
profitableif we combine the two analysis. You just
cannotignore any of the two, Technical or Derivative
analysis.
The difference between an average trader and a
successful one is that a successfultrader has a
holisticview of the market……not just technical analysis
but derivative analysis too

Keep learning & happy trading.

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Technical Analysis Alone Is Not Enough To Trade Successfully (2024)

FAQs

Is technical analysis alone enough? ›

IMPORTANT: As a beginning investor, you should focus on the most important aspects of both technical and fundamental analysis, thus gaining the greatest market edge. Technical analysis alone may not provide you with sufficient tools to examine the market thoroughly.

Can you trade with technical analysis only? ›

Some traders use only technical analysis, while others prefer to rely on fundamental analysis when planning their trades. Sometimes these two trading approaches can be combined to create one robust trading strategy.

Does technical analysis really work in trading? ›

Technical analysis can be applied to any security with historical trading data. This includes stocks, futures, commodities, fixed-income, currencies, and other securities. In fact, technical analysis is far more prevalent in commodities and forex markets where traders focus on short-term price movements.

What is the golden rule of technical analysis? ›

The three golden rules of technical analysis are: The market discounts everything. Prices move in trends. History repeats itself.

Is technical analysis enough for day trading? ›

Individuals who attempt to day trade without an understanding of market fundamentals often lose money. A working knowledge of technical analysis and chart reading is a good start. But without a deep understanding of the market and its unique risks, charts can be deceiving.

What are the disadvantages of technical analysis? ›

Cons of technical analysis

It relies on quantifiable data, making it less subjective than fundamental analysis. It may not provide sufficient insights for long-term investment decisions. Ideal for short-term traders looking to profit from price fluctuations.

Why does technical analysis fail? ›

Technical analysis can fail due to unpredictable external events affecting markets. It may overlook fundamental factors crucial for long-term trends. Additionally, reliance on historical data and patterns doesn't account for sudden changes in market sentiment or unexpected developments.

Why doesn't technical analysis work? ›

Different traders rely on different tools for their analysis, which they interpret in different ways. So at first glance, technical analysis may not seem to work because each trader sees different signals on the same chart. The solution, of course, is to establish clear rules, including market entries and exits.

What is the trading rule of technical analysis? ›

Technical analysis has three main principles and assumptions: (1) The market discounts everything, (2) prices move in trends and countertrends, and (3) price action is repetitive, with certain patterns reoccurring.

Does anyone make money with technical analysis? ›

You can make money in the markets using technical analysis, just as you can by picking stocks at random, throwing darts at a dartboard, or tossing a coin to decide which to buy or sell – i.e. by dumb luck. But you can't reliably make money this way.

How profitable is technical analysis? ›

It is widely recognized that technical analysis is a popular tool used by currency traders. In a comprehensive literature review Park and Irwin [2007] show that 24 out of 38 empirical studies report that technical analysis is profitable with a profit range of 5% to 10% per year.

Do Wall Street traders use technical analysis? ›

Technical analysis in trading is a method of analyzing stock price movements in an attempt to discern signals and identifiable stock market patterns to predict future trends. At its simplest, think of it this way: Over time, traders notice that when a stock does X, it is likely to do Y.

Which technical indicator is the most accurate? ›

The best technical indicators for forex traders are the RSI, MACD, and Bollinger Bands. Most FX traders use these as their primary indicators. There are other indicators available in the market, but these three tend to be the most commonly used for predicting future price points.

What is the 3 day rule in technical analysis? ›

The 3-Day Rule is a strategy suggesting a waiting period after a stock's significant drop before purchasing. It allows investors to make more informed decisions by observing the stock's behavior post-drop. The rule acts as a risk management tool, advocating for patience and analysis over impulsive buying.

How to master technical analysis? ›

The best way to learn technical analysis is to gain a solid understanding of the core principles and then apply that knowledge via backtesting or paper trading. Thanks to the technology available today, many brokers and websites offer electronic platforms that offer simulated trading that resemble live markets.

Can you make a living from technical analysis? ›

You can make money in the markets using technical analysis, just as you can by picking stocks at random, throwing darts at a dartboard, or tossing a coin to decide which to buy or sell – i.e. by dumb luck. But you can't reliably make money this way.

How long does it take to master technical analysis? ›

How long does it take to learn Technical Analysis? Up to 6 months, with 1-2 hours of practice every day. Trading can be easily managed even while working, however, you will need to devote 1,000 days to become a Pro, just as you would for your enterprise to take off and flourish.

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